USA NPN National Phenology Network

Taking the Pulse of Our Planet

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Hemlock woolly adelgid nymphs

Hemlock woolly adelgid, a pest native to East Asia, threatens hemlock forests in the eastern US.

Image credit:
Connecticut Agricultural Experiment Station Archive, Bugwood.org

Hemlock Woolly Adelgid Forecast

Hemlock woolly adelgid can be deadly to hemlock trees and, in the eastern United States, lacks enemies that keep their populations in check. Researchers wish to identify the optimal window to release insect predators; you can support this effort by observing hemlock woolly adelgid life cycle stages using Nature’s Notebook

Hemlock woolly adelgid current day forecast

Hemlock Wooly Adelgid Current Day Forecast.

Hemlock woolly adelgid six day forecast

Hemlock Wooly Adelgid 6-Day Forecast.

Pheno Forecast maps predict key life cycle stages in invasive and pest species, to improve management efficacy.  For insect pest species, Pheno Forecasts are based on published growing degree day (GDD) thresholds for key points in species life cycles. These key points typically represent life cycle stages when management actions are most effective. These maps are updated daily and available 6 days in the future.

Help us improve these maps! Our Pheno Forecast map products are still in development, and we seek input on their performance in your area. Give your feedback on the sidebar on the right side of this page.

Species Background

Hemlock woolly adelgid (Adelges tsugae) damages hemlock trees by piercing the twig at the base of the needles and sucking sap from the trees. Native to East Asia, it now occurs in forests in the eastern US as well as in the Pacific Northwest. In the Northwest, it is kept in check by natural predators; in the east, where predators are few, this pest is causing major damage to hemlock forests. Researchers are working to identify the best time of year to release predator insects or biocontrols, that would limit the rapid spread and damage of the hemlock woolly adelgid. 

Hemlock woolly adelgid eggs, Photo: Nick Dietschler

Egg and Nymph Forecast

We forecast the timeframe to look for eggs and nymphs based on growing degree days.  For specific information on preferred treatment options in your region, we recommend contacting your local extension agent.

Phenophase

GDD threshold

Base temp

Start date

GDD method

Model origin

Source

Eggs

26-1000oF

32oF

January 1

Simple average

 NY

Cornell University

Nymphs

1001-2200oF

32oF

January 1

Simple average

 NY

Cornell University

More information on map development and re-use policy.

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